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1、,GOVERNMENT OF MONGOLIA,MongoLIA MINING AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Ch.Khashchuluun National Development and Innovation Committee, Government Agency of Mongolia Ulaanbaatar 2009,1,2,Mining-led economic expansion,In 1990 mining wasnt a main policy issue World prices for minerals were low in the aftermat
2、h of Asian crisis After 2002, rising world prices completely changed policy orientation Mining as a pillar of economic growth 30% of GDP, 70% of exports,Started transition to market economy in 1990 under extremely difficult conditions Mongolia has fully overcome transition to market economy by 2000
3、In 1990-1992 transition crisis, GDP was falling at 9-10% annually In 2004-2008 Mongolia is one of fastest growing countries Between 2004 and 2007 GDP per capita increased from 720.9 USD to 1971.5 USD or 2.7 times,3,4,Current structure of economy: growing share of mining,Construction Services Manufac
4、turing Mining Agriculture,Mining as engine for growthto develop infrastructure and establish new industries a growth opportunity,Exploration Mining volume Reserves,5,6,Exploration Budget for the Top Ten Countries, 2007,GEOLOGICAL SURVEY,In 2007, the amount of exploration budget in Mongolia has incre
5、ased to 280.2 mil.USD and listed in Top ten countries in the world.,7,Mining sectors current output,Some projects to be implemented in the near future,8,Bigger deposits and Projects of the world scale,OUY TOLGOI 32 Million tons of copper, 1000 tons of gold,TSAGAAN SUBRAGA 44 400 tons of copper,Marda
6、i - Uranium 1104 tons of 1+2 grade,ASGAT 1271.2 tons Silver reserve of C2 grade,TAVAN TOLGOI 7.0 Billion tons of coal,Shivee-Ovoo 564.1 Million tons of +1 grades coal,Phosphor deposit of Burenkhaan 162.56 Million tons of phosphorit ore of A,B, C1 grades,Priority development area nonferrous metals, c
7、oal, energy,Priority development area ferrous metals,9,10,Some projects have already started in 2009 Mongolia is going to become a large producer and exporter of coal,11,The mining sector forecasts and data are from former Agency of Mineral Resources and are to be adjusted. The OT agreement worth ab
8、out 4 billion USD will be signed this September The project will provide flow of 29 billion USD over next 30 years and potentially much more for 80 years,This trend will accelerate with intensive development of new natural resources,12,Growth of mining results possibilities of growth for other indus
9、tries Every dollar in mining creates additional demand of 1.84 dollars in other sectors Growth of related industries transport, energy, construction, finance and other services New large infrastructure projects: railroads, automobile roads, rural airports, power stations Movement of population to ne
10、w growth areas and growing need for hospitals, schools, apartments, urban development,13,Development needs: Necessity to create new industries to diversify to add higher value and increase income Rising complexity of development projects, longer term, financing options need for midterm coordination
11、of sectoral strategies on a basis of unified development strategy Issues of competitiveness Technology transfer Productivity Institutional development,14,Development policy 2010-2015,Development needs, long term vision (2008) Priority sectors midterm strategy (2009) Investment program (2009) Financi
12、ng (2010-2015) Monitoring, evaluation, results,15,Mining:,accelerates economic growth necessitates infrastructure development development of social infrastructure Technology transfer and related human development: education in particular Export/import growth need for logistics expansion Fiscal sourc
13、es for overall modernization,16,Priority 1. Develop mining, establish base of heavy industry metallurgy, copper smelting, oil processing, chemical industry Priority 2. Intensification of agriculture, industrialization Priority 3. Development of infrastructure to support mining and industrialization
14、Priority 4. Human development, sustainable development Priority 5. Improvement of Governance, support of private sector,Development Priorities 2010-2015,17,Diversification building priority industries,18,19,Other sectors,20,2010-2015 main investment,TUV,-,-,-, , , , 52,2 ,Highways and bridges,Mining
15、 and Heavy industry, metallurgy complex with railways, copper smelter,Transport Logistics center Europe Asia, , , , 3,9 , / , , , , , 600,0 ,Europe Asia highway,Cement, copper, uranium facilities,Power station 4 GWt,Copper, coal, gold, railways, power station, expanding transit facilities, energy gr
16、id, new urban construction and roads, rural airports,Transport logistics Europe Asia in Western Mongolia,Oil pipeline, oil plant,New international airport, railway logistics,Coal complex,Infrastructure objects in UB area: Road network, new apartment districts, energy grid expansion,Free trade zone,F
17、ree trade zone,Development Aimed Public Investment Projects/2010-2015/,Khangai Region,Ulaanbaatar area,Central Region,Eastern Region,Western Region,Development Aimed Public Investment Projects /by sector in trillion tugrik/,Investment in Central Region,Black Metallurgy Complex,Iron ore in Bayangol,
18、Tumurtei, Khustai and Tumurtolgoi,Altanbulag Port,1070 km expressway,Airport in Hushigt valley,Industrial Park in Choir /also in Sainshand/,Zamiin-Uud Port,Metallurgy Extension,Investment in Central Region/South gobi/,Copper-Gold ore in Oyutolgoi,Nariin sukhait and Tsagaan suvarga,Sainshand,Shivee o
19、voos power plant,Tavan tolgois power plant,Investment in Khangai region,.,Iron refining factory in Tamir,International airport in Kharkhorin,Unit,Airport in Murun,Airport in Khatgal,Copper concentrate factory,The paved road from Bayankhongor to Altai,Investment in western region,Ulaangom,The transpo
20、rt and logistic centre,Tayan nuur iron ore,Asgat silver pollymetalllic deposit,Khushuut coking coal mine,Investment in eastern region,Expected oil deposit in Tamsag,Choibalsan,Uranium ore deposits,Baruun urt,Undurkhaan,Bichigt-Huut,The railway: Sainshand - Baruun urt - Choibalsan,The pollymetalic or
21、es in Tsav and Ulaan,Investment in Ulaanbaatar area,Impact of selected projects such as Oyutolgoi (copper, gold) and Tavantolgoi (coal),2010-2015 Mongolian economy will grow faster due to mining GDP in nominal prices will increase 3 fold,29,Baseline economic growth rate projection is 7.9% for 2010-2
22、015 Development of new mines will increase growth rate to 11.6% In 2014, economic growth rate may reach 18% GDP per capita will increase almost 3-fold,30,Mining projected and baseline growth rates,Balance of payments currency reserves,31,Currency Reserves (million USD) will increase more than 9 time
23、s,Financing options: Public investment Public Private Partnership (Concession Law) to be ratified during Autumn Session 2009 list of PPP projects is prepared with ADB support Development Bank of Mongolia (JICA) by Government Action Program to be set up in 2009 to finance priority sectors (industry, infrastructure, advanced technology) FDI to reach billions of USD dollars by 2012 (currently 600 million USD in 2008),32,33,Public investment to grow from 2008 level of approximately 0.4 billion USD 8-22 times to 3-8 billion US dollars by 2020,34,THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!,