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1、2013,2,PMI,2013,3,1,010-60838756 S1010510120003 010-60838023 S1010511080002,010-60838015 S1010510120052 010-60838230 S1010511080003,010-60838405 S1010511080001 010-60836734 ,2013,3,1,CFLP,2013,2,PMI,50.1%,2,0.3 PMI,2 50.1%,PMI,50.4.% 0.3,1.9,PMI PMI,1 PMI 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 44 42 40 38,50%,PMI,PMI
2、,%,05/09,06/09,07/09,08/09,09/09,10/09,11/09,12/09,1,2,60 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 44 42,PMI,%,40,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,3,60 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 44 42,PMI,%,40,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,4,60 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 44 42 40,PMI,2013-01,2013-02,%,2,51.2%,0.1,46.6%,0.8,2
3、013,49.5% 10.5%,0.6,2,5,%,8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 -14,-,25 20 15 10 5 0,08/01,09/01,10/01,11/01,12/01,13/01,2,PPI,-1.5%,2,55.5%,1.7,2,50%,19,50%,60%,2,PPI,-1.5%,2,PMI PMI,PMI,6 2 60 55,PMI,2,PMI,%,50 45 40 3,7 20 10 0,PMI,1,2 PMI,1,%,-10 -20 -30 4,-,Analyst Certification i ii The analysts prim
4、arily responsible for the preparation of all or part of the research report contained herein hereby certify that: (i) the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of each such analyst about the subject securities and issuers; and (ii) views expressed in this rese
5、arch report.,/,(,),(1),(2) / / 2013 1,300,20%,6,6,300 300,5% -10%,20% 5%,2,300,6 300,300 300 300 300,10% 10% -10% 10% 10%,48,1568,8,1,100125,22,200122,518048,26,Foreign Broker-Dealer Disclosures for Distributing to the U.S. Securities Regulatory Commission. Securities Business License Number: Z20374000). This report is being distributed in the United States by CITIC Securities pursuant to Rule,15a- letters thereunder.,e 15a-6 and the SEC no-action Z20374000,1934,15a-6(a) (2),15a-6,