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1、 I 2006164146 06 00 II III 巢仯 顣 : Abstract since reform and opening up, tremendous changes have take in place in rural areas of Xinjiang Province, the rapid development of agriculture,rural peoples income and consumption levels continue to improve. The research of countryside inhabitant consumptio
2、n structure bases on the theory of the west consumption economic theories and methods , and analyse the present conditions and features of consumption structure of Xinjiang rural residents , find out its shortcoming and the reason of forming these shortcomings ,put forward some suggestions about opt
3、imizing consumption structure of Xinjiang rural residents , such as agricultural modernization and urbanizationin , development of macroeconomic policies to support agriculture and increase farmers income and reasonable consumption of rural residents and so on. Key words: Countryside inhabitant Cons
4、umption structure Xinjiang province IV 1 1 1.1. 1 1.2. 4 1.2.1 . 4 1.2.2 . 6 1.2.3 . 7 2 8 2.1. 8 2.1.1 . 8 2.1.2 10 2.1.3 12 2.1.4 12 2.1.5 13 2.2 15 2.2.1 15 2.2.2 16 2.2.3 17 2.2.4 18 3 . 18 3.1 18 3.2轨誮 19 3.3 19 3.4 20 . 21 1 1 20082130.81 1286.1660.36% 塣 1 1.1 21999 2008 19992.09仯 19992008 1
5、-1 1-1 1999 1473.17 1282.49 2000 1618.08 1236.45 2001 1710.44 1350.23 2002 1863.26 1411.73 2003 2106.19 1465.31 2004 2244.93 1689.91 2005 2482.15 1924.41 2006 2737.28 2032.36 2007 3182.97 2350.58 2008 3502.90 2683.93 2 1999-2009 1-1spss16.0 0.984 1-2 - R R 2 R 2 1 0.984(a) 0.967 0.966 114.1089 1-1
6、C=a+bY+ua000,b0 0.709 豸 1-4 鷽t1-5 3 1-4 1999 1473.2 686.4 119.8 147.5 50.8 59.0 107.8 72.8 38.3 2000 1618.1 618.2 114.3 170.9 45.7 61.0 106.0 73.7 46.7 2001 1710.4 679.9 120.3 187.9 47.7 65.1 102.2 86.6 60.5 2002 1863.3 691.3 127.5 220.3 48.1 73.1 105.9 99.8 45.8 2003 2106.2 667.1 135.7 254.6 50.9
7、99.0 112.9 116.5 28.6 2004 2244.9 763.4 138.9 304.8 56.0 131.6 126.9 142.0 26.3 2005 2482.2 803.8 171.4 333.2 68.0 183.0 159.3 169.3 36.4 2006 2737.3 810.7 187.0 371.6 73.0 189.7 209.5 157.0 33.8 2007 3183.0 939.0 218.2 445.0 91.5 234.7 166.3 210.7 45.2 2008 3502.9 1140.3 218.6 491.3 97.6 276.3 169.
8、0 244.6 46.2 1998-2009 1-5 spss a b R R2 a t B t F 224.82 0.24 0.95 0.91 8.36 3.22 69.82 12.55 0.06 0.98 0.97 14.18 1.18 200.95 (98.26) 0.17 1.00 0.99 32.61 (7.62) 1063.60 豸 (5.87) 0.03 0.99 0.97 15.34 (1.24) 235.28 (137.52) 0.12 0.99 0.98 18.00 (8.45) 323.95 29.74 0.05 0.80 0.64 3.55 0.93 12.60 (61
9、.30) 0.09 0.99 0.97 15.58 (4.49) 242.65 46.75 (0.02) 0.15 0.02 3.10 (0.39) 0.15 1-4 1-5 a豸 a 豸 0.146 0.8鷽 0.0210.64 4 t顣0.237 0.1710.1190.08634 0.061490.04617豸 0.02944-0.0239 0.1 1.2 1.2.1 , 20020.490.5 19 仯 () () ( ) R 595O59 4050304030 199550.1%2007 39.9%10.2,2008 242.5%1-619782008 5 1-6 % 1978
10、- 1980 60.8 1985 57.9 1990 53.7 1995 50.1 2000 50.0 2001 50.4 2002 49.0 2003 45.5 2004 45.2 2005 41.8 2006 39.9 2007 39.9 2008 42.5 20082009 1990249.7 20082288.69 913.246.6719907.9 20089925311990 1-7 6 1-7 1990 1995 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 () 249.7 206.7 244.8 248.8 236.3 232.2 235.
11、7 225.2 222 228 # 201.4 162.5 199.8 200.2 188.5 189.8 188.4 182.1 179.1 180.3 13.4 8.4 15.2 15.8 19.8 18.5 19.9 18 20.9 21.8 - 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 121.6 64 89.2 88.5 75.1 68.3 67.9 63.7 70.8 69.5 7.9 6.4 9.6 10.4 9.4 8.9 10.9 10.8 10.8 9.9 # 7.4 6.1 9.6 10.2 9.2 8.8 10.8 10.7 10.8 9.
12、9 9 8.1 12.4 12.5 13.7 13.4 14.3 15.3 14.5 13.2 # 2.3 1.6 2 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 6.8 2.1 2 2.4 2.7 2 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.7 - 3.2 7 7.3 8 8.8 9 9.8 9.2 7.5 0.9 1 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.8 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.3 1 1 1.2 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 1 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1 1.3 1.2 1.
13、2 1.2 41.9 21.8 46.9 54 28.1 34.2 34.8 22.5 22.2 23.2 6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 2001-2009 粻 1.2.2 199027 2008276.31025.275.32 10.294.971990 1.37200850.77绰绰1990 200840.1954.00 199016.22008169.0 7 19905.16 200877.032008 26.971-8 1-91-10 1-8 1990 1995 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 272.1 47
14、1.5 667.1 763.4 803.8 810.7 939.0 1140.3 77.8 119.9 135.7 138.9 171.4 187.0 218.2 218.6 69.1 121.2 254.6 304.8 333.2 371.6 445.0 491.3 35.5 56.3 50.9 56.0 68.0 73.0 91.5 97.6 5.7 35.7 116.5 142.0 169.3 189.7 210.7 244.6 27.0 64.9 99.0 131.6 183.0 209.5 234.7 276.3 16.2 48.0 112.9 126.9 159.3 157.0 1
15、66.3 169.0 3.5 24.1 28.6 26.3 36.4 33.9 45.2 46.2 506.8 941.6 1465.3 1689.9 1924.4 2032.4 2350.6 2683.9 2003-2009 1-9 1990 1995 2000 2005 2008 () 12.58 16.39 20.87 28.26 38.00 () 0.40 2.26 9.93 20.13 30.32 () - - - 0.39 0.32 () - 0.13 1.13 1.23 1.61 () 111.21 151.29 136.60 80.97 80.45 () 1.37 4.90 1
16、8.33 45.42 50.77 绰() - - 15.07 36.26 40.19 绰() - - 0.33 21.29 54.00 () 28.79 55.03 59.33 35.16 21.68 () 5.16 14.39 31.87 61.81 77.03 () 0.73 1.16 2.20 3.23 2.71 () - - 3.60 - 26.97 () - - - - 1.48 2009 1.2.3 仯 1990 69.12008491.3611.00 8 13.63200818.34.671-8 1-10 1-10 % 1990 1995 2002 2003 2004 2005
17、 2006 2007 2008 53.70 50.08 48.97 45.53 45.18 41.77 39.89 39.95 42.49 15.35 12.73 9.03 9.26 8.22 8.91 9.2 9.28 8.15 13.64 12.87 15.6 17.38 18.04 17.31 18.28 18.93 18.3 7.00 5.98 3.41 3.48 3.31 3.53 3.59 3.89 3.64 1.12 3.79 7.07 7.95 8.4 8.8 9.33 8.96 9.11 5.32 6.89 5.18 6.76 7.79 9.51 10.31 9.98 10.
18、29 3.19 5.09 7.5 7.71 7.51 8.28 7.73 7.07 6.3 0.68 2.56 3.24 1.95 1.55 1.89 1.67 1.92 1.72 2003-2009 2 仯 , , 2.1 2.1.1 60%2-1 1985290.3820082683.93 9 19852.4520083.232-1 2-1 1985 650.81 290.38 2.24 1990 1104.42 506.82 2.18 1995 3186.75 941.58 3.38 2000 4422.92 1236.45 3.58 2001 4931.40 1350.23 3.65
19、 2002 5636.44 1411.73 3.99 2003 5540.61 1465.31 3.78 2004 5773.62 1689.91 3.42 2005 6207.52 1924.41 3.23 2006 6730.01 2032.36 3.31 2007 6730.01 2350.58 2.86 2008 8669.36 2683.93 3.23 2000-2009 1985199019952000-2008 12 2000 1670.131236.45433.68 20083660.68 2683.93976.752-2 2 -2 1985 317.42 290.38 1.0
20、9 1990 538.05 506.82 1.06 1995 1310.36 941.58 1.39 2000 1670.13 1236.45 1.35 2001 1741.09 1350.23 1.29 2002 1834.31 1411.73 1.30 2003 1943.3 1465.31 1.33 2004 2184.65 1689.91 1.29 2005 2555.4 1924.41 1.33 2006 2829.02 2032.36 1.39 2007 3224.02 2350.58 1.37 2008 3660.68 2683.93 1.44 10 2000-2009 2.1.2 1980 60.8%2006200739%200842%2007 2008