民间资本的博弈故事(Game story of private capital).doc

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1、民间资本的博弈故事(Game story of private capital)Shops: a game story of private capital(2004-02-13, 09:31:00)Shops investment is a capital and wisdom of the contest, both with the wealth of golden dreams, and full of market risk and trap. Wenzhou people in this market, the wisdom to play to the extreme.This

2、daily daily trainee reporter Liang ShiyanBefore the new year the first Hangzhou exhibition shops in the pursuit of a perfect sound to the satisfaction of all, Chengdu panda city to 36 thousand yuan per square meter price at the end of this trip to West Lake of Jiangsu and Zhejiang; China World Trade

3、 Center prices rose to 68 thousand yuan per square metre; in Jinhua, the highest shops were photographed 82 thousand yuan per square meter; in Wenzhou, a group of buyers are South to Shenzhen and west to Wuhan; one store in Shanghai, known as a shop Wang 55 square meters of shops, the right to opera

4、te for 5 years to sell 4 million yuan; a group of people in Taizhou to advance to Vietnam, the real footprint extends to abroad.Experts said: after experiencing the climax of commercial housing residential, China ushered in the real estate market third wave of investment wave; in addition, some expe

5、rts said that the era of profiteering shops have passed. As a result, the shops on capital wrestling and theoretical infighting gradually began to enter our field of vision.1 million 600 thousand Wenzhou people transfer wealth informationThe last century at the end of 90s, when more people are still

6、 considering how to buy when a satisfactory residential, smart Wenzhou people have begun to walk in every corner of the country, looking for profit from shops in track. At that time, the people of Wenzhou were not so conspicuous now, so few people knew how many Wenzhou people began to acquire the fi

7、rst pot of gold from then on.One in Yueqing trade union work people say, she began buying shops in 1997, when there are many people around Shanghai to buy shops. She just had about 200000 of the money, I heard that in Shanghai Town Gods Temple can buy two shops, then leased to do business in Shangha

8、i hometown, there are a lot of income every month, and then cast into.She bought upstairs and downstairs each shop, and now also loans about 3000 yuan a month, the rental income is probably this figure, just the balance of payments. By 2008, you can pay off the loan, and the price of the shop has ne

9、arly doubled.The proceeds are good, and the money for retirement has been saved. She smiled contentedly.It is understood that about half of the shops in Shanghai and Town Gods Temple are bought by the people of Wenzhou, and most of them are from Yueqing. An analysis of some research on Wenzhou peopl

10、e, Wenzhou has 1 million 600 thousand people to do business in the country, it will bring a large amount of information, the information spread to after their relatives, friends, fellow there, for example where there are shops selling the home, relatives and friends will raise money to buy shops, th

11、en leased to myself the villagers on the rental shops and wait for appreciation profit.He believes that there is a local, rooted in the traditional patriarchal society economic cooperation alliance, the flow of information across the country with 1 million 600 thousand people in Wenzhou, with fellow

12、 and relatives of traditional social ties as credit flows, driven by the about 6000000 Wenzhou peoples capital flow, the formation of a strong flow of investment in the country. The common market for solid, the various elements of the market get the biggest play, the biggest play a role in a variety

13、 of factors, the parties to obtain maximum income.It should be said that in the early operation of Wenzhou peoples shops, we can not say how many speculative ingredients. Mr. Li of the Yueqing municipal government on 90s at the end of the century, these shops investment, at least is a result of a wi

14、n-win situation: the local government investment environment improved, the local economic development, to get a more credit guarantee and stable operation in the local shops in Wenzhou, Wenzhou local retail investors to obtain a more stable rental income. He said, this is a win-win situation, the pe

15、rfect ending. It is impossible to calculate at that time, in the end how much of Wenzhous capital flows to all parts of the country, and how much money through shop rental and store operations, and then flow back to Wenzhou. But there are indeed a lot of people in Wenzhou making profits, and there a

16、re more places to develop because of the involvement of private funds in Wenzhou. Also in Shanghai, Cheap Road, there are about 7 large clothing market, the most popular market in Shanghai as the Japanese word Wenzhou, here Wenzhou accounted for half of the territory of Shanghai; or Beijing East Roa

17、d, once known as the Wenzhou Street, because the whole street is basic the monopoly of electric appliance store in Wenzhou.Tears staggered shops scamIn the last centurys real estate development in 90s, the non-standard market spawned a group of real estate liar, these bad speculators began to take a

18、dvantage of loopholes,In the scheme of fraud, a part of Wenzhou people fell into the trap of the first shop gold rush. From Ruian, Mr. Kim is doing clothing business, in 1998, he heard a man of Wenzhou clothing market development started business in the ShangHai Railway Station, he ran at once to th

19、e two, the purchase of 200 thousand yuan. At that time, the market is still not standardized, do not pay attention to the three cards, five cards, all he wanted to grab a good position. The time to sign the contract, the developer alone, call the past is empty, find the office is empty, a complete s

20、cam.It is said that there were several hundred people who were cheated in Wenzhou. They all did the clothing business. At last, they did not get an argument. The amount of money cheated by everybody should be about 10000000.Mr Kim said: the day before the office full of black people, everyone is ver

21、y angry, the government is not used, the government said in looking for the man. It also can not find the money people, certainly went abroad. If I hit him now, beat him first, and then he made me lose 200 thousand in vain! The same thing happened in the southern suburbs of Shanghai, was also a Wenz

22、hou developer, said to build a Auto Parts City, houses are built in half, a lot of people in Wenzhou have been panic buying, pay a deposit for half a month, time to sign the contract, developers suddenly mysteriously disappeared. Until now, there were only a few overgrown houses and Wenzhou investor

23、s who still could not find the answer. According to reports, in such a scam, the government departments often bear a certain responsibility, but at the time, the entire market is not standardized, many investors finally helpless, bitter stomach to swallow.Compared with the first batch of shops to ma

24、ke money in Wenzhou, these people are undoubtedly unfortunate. But under nonstandard conditions, anything can happen. Zhejiang University doctoral student in economics Zheng Hui said, from the beginning, investment shops filled with capital and wisdom of the contest, as long as the market place, the

25、re will be capital and wrestling game, both full of wealth reverie, but also with the market risk and trap. Especially in the late 90s of the last century, the market is not standardized, and even more so, Wenzhou people as a market leader, the first experience of all this.Speculative and investment

26、 peersIn 2000, with the improvement of the overall property market in our country, the funds began to be active everywhere. Especially in Wenzhou, with 150 billion private capital strength, became active in Shanghai, Hangzhou and other eastern regions, and then spread to all parts of the country, Ta

27、izhou, Shanghai, which led to Jinhua, Lishui, Yongkang, Zhuji, Yiwu and other places around the capital market impact, Zhejiang funds began to slowly surfaced.Also from this time, investors in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces began to change from investment to speculation, they are pursuing short-term

28、 benefits and real gains. It is said that Wenzhou existing more than 5000 real estate speculators behind occupation , there are 100 thousand real force, there are 100 billion funds in the country flows , looking for prey; while Taizhou people buy a house is like buying, the entire unit of the whole

29、unit to buy, with the hunger for bread as a Shanghai; number of people behind the Taiwanese and the people of Hongkong, in recent years the real estate earned too many to count the money.All of a sudden, jittery, raging like a storm. Along with the progress of funds in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces

30、, shops as the focus of investment, investors have gradually sought after. As a market pioneer, Wenzhou people become a leader once again, at the forefront of the market, shops become a battlefield in this brave Ever-victorious general .The Market Research Department of Centaline Property Consultant

31、s Ltd. Wang introduced, Zhejiang real estate speculation shops it boils down to is actually very simple, they usually talk about the name and group purchase conditions to developers, get 7-8 discount, set dozens of sets and even hundreds of sets, developers took the opportunity to shop selling a who

32、op and a holler atmosphere, raise prices. Wait until the opening time, the real estate group also dished out the hands of shops, earn discounts and raise prices. And for developers, he is also the use of real opportunities, greatly inflated the price, profit is enormous.A shop in Shanghai, Pudong, h

33、as been hyped up like this. In June 2003, before the opening day, the shops developers spread the news said, the shops have been 80% by a mysterious businessman in Wenzhou to go shopping, the remaining 20% shops because the futures are too much, the price to rise. The situation in the market suddenl

34、y tense up, many people desperately through various relations to panic buying.This is not the case, the Wenzhou property buyers only about 20% of the shops. Thus, in the opening day, shops selling amazing scene, Wenzhou people also opened the shop on the day,Earn full bowl to return, developers are

35、happy with the mouth.Later, in many places, the people of Wenzhou has become a developers into the hands of the trump card in the propaganda of Wenzhou people to panic buying the real estate as a big selling point to real estate shall lift a whoop and a holler, investment prospects and price, finall

36、y pay are actual operators. This is entirely a speculative behavior, the industry analysis, in the shops transactions, developers and owners of information exchange is asymmetric, developers in a favorable position. Zhejiang real estate group by group purchase power to the developers there for a fav

37、orable position, expand capital game developers use; Zhejiang real gimmick to uplift prices, the final bill has become the most stupid last Bo silly game, hands full of bubble, their fate is reduced to the stock market investors point. The official also said that in the market gradually standardized

38、, this speculation will be more and more narrow space.To the satisfaction of all programs.And purely speculative behavior is different, in Wenzhou and other places to appear in another kind of investment shops behavior is even more meaningful, but also more worthy of attention.A businessman in the c

39、ounty of Pingyang saw a piece of land in a district in Shanghai at the end of 2000, but he did not have enough money for development. Thus, he had a bold idea, the use of private funds in Wenzhou for their own pay. So he first with their own resources and networks, to raise 20 million yuan of funds,

40、 the land down, the land is in the favorable conditions of Shanghai logistics center, the project packed into an international mall.When he was almost out of hand for 20 million, bank loans have not started, only loaning 30% pad, the construction team has no money, or a mere scrap of paper. The pre-

41、sale permit has not won, can not make money, the project encountered difficulties.What should I do? He also thought of Wenzhou people, because Wenzhou people buy shops, never ask the formalities, only look at the prospects. If Wenzhou folks were willing to pay for it and move down the first capital,

42、 all the problems would be solved. Thus, a bold marketing program introduced, they promised, as long as each owner to pay 180 thousand yuan, you can book a set of shops at lower prices, until the opening time, allowing the sell-off.The Wenzhou futures are numerous, in a continuous line, from the beg

43、inning of October 2001, in less than 3 months, all more than 2000 sets of shops sell a light. A teacher who bought this shop in Cangnan said, only a total of 180 thousand, even if the loss of nothing, it is a bet to lose it. Developers from the acquisition of more than 3 billion of funds, the proble

44、m is completely resolved.In June this year, the pre-sale permit finally down, and this International Mall is also a lot of people Wenzhou fried red, known as the mall, each shop prices soared by nearly 200 thousand, a lot of people in Wenzhou sold out, and earned 200 thousand, doubled.It is said tha

45、t this is a professional mall, and now the disk is a number of professional enterprises, including many well-known international enterprises. They say, after Wenzhou people such speculation, the market effect has come out, bought this kind of shop, the future prospect is good, coupled with Shanghais

46、 leading effect, this kind of price is still not high.A Shanghai consultancy, marketing director believes that in the Wenzhou people speculation, there is a similar to the food chain of the real estate capital chain, that is the developer - investors - the consumer chain, he distinguished from devel

47、opers - consumer chain, obviously, this kind of mode can only work in a place like Wenzhou.He also said that although this mode to consumers (i.e. the final bill) increases the cost, but in the objective to promote the regions economic prosperity, but also provides some development funds for develop

48、ers, reduce the cost of shop operators finally preheating mall, reduce the investment risk, for all of us very good ending. It is reported that Wenzhou now has a lot of people are interested in this model, developers and investors in Wenzhou jointly put a project with red, between the uterus, such a

49、s egg out, sold to operators, we share the profit, it is like the now popular risk investment and project incubation.A rational analysis of investment in shopsDead Leung Bans commercial real estate department of Miss Yip believes that the average rate of return on investment in shops around 6%-10%, but now the market is far higher than the short-term gains, wi

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