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1、ACRP Problem No. 10-03-13 Recommended: No Estimating the Impact of Airport Delay on the National System TRB Aviation Group Airfield & Airspace Capacity and Delay Cmte: Problem is important but the approach focuses too much on causal factors for delay at individual airports. ACRP Screening Panel Not
2、a viable research topic for ACRP. OUTLINE FOR AIRPORT COOPERATIVE RESEARCH PROGRAM PROBLEM STATEMENTS A AC CR RP P Problem Number Problem Number 10-03-13 I. PROBLEM TITLE Estimating the Impact of Airport Delay on the National System II. RESEARCH PROBLEM STATEMENT The US air transport as we all know
3、is under significant stress. The air travel is marred by frequent delays and congestion. Most of the flight delays are concentrated to a small number of airports handling the majority of operations. According to the FAA, the 35 Operational Evolution Partnership (OEP) airports handle 70% of the passe
4、nger traffic in the US1. This has created a bottleneck like situation in the entire National Airspace System (NAS) of the country with airports being the focal point. The NAS is a large and complex stochastic system with thousands of interrelated components like administration, control centers, airp
5、orts, airlines, passengers, etc. The major delay causal factors include congestion at origin and destination airports, convective weather, reduced ceiling and visibility, increased air traffic demand and changes in air traffic management. The performance of one single airport is affected by circumst
6、ances at other airports in the NAS and delays at that single airport propagate to the system as well. A previous research studied this propagation effect. The results show that a one minute increase of arrival delay at LaGuardia Airport (LGA) leads to a total three-minute increase of arrival delay a
7、t non-LGA OEP airports2. Understanding factors contributing to airside congestion and the impact on the national system is a topic attracting the interests of most of the focus groups in the ACRP. III. OBJECTIVE The purpose of this research project is to explore the impact of delays at a single airp
8、ort or regional airport systems to the National Airspace System, considering a variety of delay causal factors. IV. RESEARCH PROPOSED The proposed research would consist of the following tasks: 1. Literature review 2. Identify delay causal factors at the airports and examine the possible reasons for
9、 delay. 3. Identify appropriate research methods, such as a multivariate simultaneous equation regression model. 4. Obtain outcomes with research methods identified in the previous step 5. Discuss possible implementation and potential value for ACRP practical issues 6. Final report V. ESTIMATE OF TH
10、E PROBLEM FUNDING AND RESEARCH PERIOD Recommended Funding: $250,000 Research Period: 12 month VI. URGENCY AND PAYOFF POTENTIAL This research will offer immediate benefit for understanding the performance of the NAS and provide decision support background for resource allocation. 1 http:/www.faa.gov/
11、about/office_org/headquarters_offices/ato/publications/oep/faq/Airports/index.cfm 2 Hansen, M., Zhang, Y., Operational Consequences of Alternative Airport Demand Management Policies: Case of LaGuardia Airport, New York, Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No
12、 1915, pp 95-104 2 VII. RELATED RESEARCH Dr. Zhang, who proposes this problem statement, has conducted research in this area in the context of LGA airport as a part of a research project sponsored by the FAA. VIII. PERSON(S) DEVELOPING THE PROBLEM Mark Hansen Professor of Civil and Environmental Eng
13、ineering University of California, Berkeley mhansence.berkeley.edu Yu Zhang Assistant Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of South Florida yuzhangeng.usf.edu IX. PROCESS USED TO DEVELOP PROBLEM STATEMENT 1. The problem statement was initiated from the potential research areas
14、 for FY 2010 as mentioned in Research Results Digest 5 that explores the possibility to determine the impact of capacity and congestion at airports on national system. 2. Discussions at Airfield and Airspace Capacity and Delay Committee meeting at TRB conference and other professional forums. X. DAT
15、E AND SUBMITTED BY Yu Zhang Assistant Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Ave, ENB 118 Tampa, FL 33620 yuzhangeng.usf.edu 813-974-5846 Office 510-229-0357 Cell Date Submitted: April 10, 2008 Submit to: Michael R. Salamone, C.M. ManagerACRP Transportation Research Board 500 Fifth Street., N.W. Washington, D.C. 20001 202/334-3224 FAX 202/334-2006