凯恩斯主义的恶果社会经济滞胀(The consequences of Keynes's doctrine social and economic stagnation).doc

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1、凯恩斯主义的恶果社会经济滞胀(The consequences of Keyness doctrine social and economic stagnation)The Keynes doctrine: the social and economic consequences of stagflationThe seventeen criticism of KeynesThe social and economic stagnation has become a buzzword in the field of social economy in recent years, an inte

2、rnational society, especially the hot topic of the world economics, people in the discussion of the social and economic reality of the actual social economic phenomenon: Cancer Causes and explore the crack of a ready-made panacea. However, is still unknown, but is still unable to agree on which is r

3、ight Public opinions are divergent., foggy out. What is the reason?!As we know: social economic stagnation: is the whole social economic development overall, systematic and comprehensive stagnant state or a state of negative growth, but at the same time there are substantive and hyperinflation as a

4、social economic development dilemma and crisis of state.The specific performance of social economic stagnation is the GDP index of economic growth rate, it is come to a standstill, or decreased greatly, and has been in a low level of economic growth, even the negative economic growth state. While in

5、flation is the inevitable product of Keynes economics quantitative easing QE monetary policy and expansionary fiscal deficit policy, but also in the implementation of continuous QE policy: warm boiled frog the constant accumulation of rise, and is only going down the high level social price and liqu

6、idity status this is the social capital trap dilemma, economic stagnation of the specific social economic status and the actual performance.According to the objective evaluation of this standard, the western countries from the beginning of the last century in 70s, this is a basic social and economic

7、 development. Of course, sometimes with the Keynes economics increase the money supply, QE means the irritation of society, economic growth rate will be short-term better, showing a paroxysmal economic prosperity and rapid growth, but the side effect in the implementation of the sustainable developm

8、ent of this temporary relief and borrowing development the pattern of a mandatory, the stimulation effect and the effect on the inevitability and diminished and difficult to continue. Far not said that the recent U.S. hegemony $three QE stimulus effect and validity have used the objective facts of t

9、he practice show that such a diminishing role and the continued deterioration of the effect. Third of the world economy, Japan, from the last century since 90s has been a negative growth of social and economic development and stagnation of such high inflation, national debt accumulation increase has

10、 reached GDP nearly two times the social and economic development of the poor state. A realistic situation in Europe is so basic: the state of development of social economy, give dying kicks lethargic stagflation, we Chinese social economic reality is also affected by the difficult and troubled by i

11、t was threatened by growing crises. The social and economic stagnation has been become a world difficult problem of objectivity of social economy.Is the embarrassing state of distress and what causes a kind of social and economic development of such?Objective to know this, for we re build China futu

12、re social and economic development mode, the fundamental transformation of the social and economic development is the decisive factors of rational choice of rational thinking and critical view of the vehicle in front of the cover.A stagnant economy and social reasons and even negative growth is the

13、negative effect of the Keynes doctrineWe know that the economic development of the modern society: three carriages. Investment, consumption and export.While the Keynes economics theory of investment is the main way is: the government investment, expansion of government debt on government expansionar

14、y fiscal deficit policy - the way of social infrastructure and semi public investment management. To promote the social capital investment due to: profit maximization is difficult to rush by persistent investment boom and maintain the sustainable development of social economy,The social economic gro

15、wth caused by the doping effect so rely on such stimulating investment and short-term effects of the inevitability of economic prosperity, with a short period of time the rapid growth unsustainable status of flower briefly as the broad-leaved epiphyllum. The state budget deficit and national debt in

16、vestment model that does not have substantial continuity and sustainability, and especially the ultimate no end of trouble for the future, the reality of the outbreak of universal western countries sovereign credit crisis (in front of a series of Keyness critique of economics in this paper has been

17、specifically addressed, these aspects will not repeat them here), such the basic mode of investment is precarious social and economic investment mode of sunset.The investment channels for social due to social and economic costs, high investment risk, increasing the liquidity trap (Keynes trap) is al

18、so inevitable dilemma caused by reduced investment enthusiasm, financial capital market volatility in the investment risk, chase sell up grow with each passing day trend intensified, resulting in social investment atrophy, one of the the three carriages of the social and economic development: invest

19、ment is overcautious, indecisive, stagnant, or barely survive and loss out of business, close down business situation, the world economic integration conditions will produce industrial transfer boom, and international financial investment and speculative speculative investment occur, while the real

20、economy is the basic investment shaorenwenjin field. As a result, the main driving force of social economic development and economic growth: investment basically no flowers to the beginning, bury the hatchet .The carriage of social consumption: due to overall inflation intensified, rising prices inc

21、rease the accumulation of high, high level, the society of the future social and economic expectations expectations continue to decline, the income level of the masses of the people to improve the effectiveness, or even keep up with rising prices level, saving consumption masses more cash wait, will

22、 cause persistent social consumption slump, the reality of western countries fiscal tightening and cuts in social welfare measures must also leads to social consumer consumption reduction and not the control has been generated, thus, sustained reductions in turn leads to social production field sale

23、s difficulties and capital return difficult, profitability lead to difficult to continue sustainable development, intensified The crisis and predicament of social investment. In order to make the social production and social consumption of two economic systems in a stagnant dilemma the continued det

24、erioration of the situation, of course, is the overall social and economic, systematic, comprehensive and stagnant threatened by growing crises. The real world economy overall situation is worsening, difficult to continue the crisis and predicament of state.The social economic driving force of the e

25、xport of the carriage, as the developed countries the stagnant economic growth, social consumption has shrunk dramatically, imported products are greatly reduced, orders the same corresponding reduction in export dependent countries and regions of course can not be sustained export economy prosperit

26、y, and social the economic costs due to Keynes economics all sorts of stimulative monetary policy, expansionary fiscal deficit policy implementation, sovereign credit crisis and potential crisis, Inflation Persistence is inevitable high, serious atrophy caused by asynchronous export market of social

27、 production and social consumption, product supply and consumer goods at the same time low-spirited and difficult. As a result, the export of carriage: it is difficult to expect. Then, three carriages of the stalled together almost Similarly afflicted people pity each other. piaffe, inevitable conse

28、quences of social and economic development of further deterioration of the negative growth is such a vicious spiral of the.On the basis of rational analysis of this comprehensive social and economic three carriages objective reality,We can know that this is Keynes economics negative consequences: ri

29、sing prices - inflation - common social and economic costs superposition Shackles - liquidity trap dilemma - sovereign credit crisis, the international financial crisis caused by social economic stagnation and difficult, difficult to continue. So, no Keynes economics the first, there is no social ec

30、onomic stagnation and even retrogression fifteen comprehensive. Of course, Keynes economics the continuity of causality and the negative effect of the negative effect of evil is the development of the second intermediate stage to fourteen. This is the inevitable result of the social economic system

31、overall, systematic and coherent characteristics of the inevitability of causality. Western economics, social economic system, pluralism view and fission dualism of multi-body selfish is the fatal causes of operation.Two, inflation is the unity of social and economic stagnationThe rational analysis

32、and the objectivity of judgment in a series of articles criticizing us in front of Keynes economics in already know QE monetary policy and expansionary fiscal deficit policy will inevitably lead to inflation of Keyness social - economic surplus - rising prices - social economic costs - social compre

33、hensive debt - increase the liquidity trap. The ultimate consequences is that the sovereign credit crisis and global financial crisis, of course, difficult and can lead to stagnation of global economy, the last is social economic stagnation, even in a comprehensive and backward facing the common dil

34、emma dilemma at a loss what to do.In view of this, inflation and social economic stagnation and negative growth is a causal relationship between the unity of opposites. The surface looks, inflation and economic growth and stop negative growth paradox and antagonism, under the condition of inflation

35、in accordance with the Keynes economics logical reasoning is not the social and economic stagnation of growth and negative growth, deflation can produce social economic stagnation and negative growth, and the objective reality of the social and economic status mercilessly rejected Keynes economics t

36、hat opinionated: logical inference. Inflation and social economic stagnation development has become a fact: unity, unity. The two is the reality also exist and are complementary and intensified.This proves that: inflation and social and economic stagnation and negative growth is seemingly contradict

37、ory, materiality is a contradictory unity of causality.This is because of a series of monetary subject Keynes Economics (capital) method for the inevitability of inflation leads to social - economy false prosperity - economic surplus (including overcapacity, excess capital and so on) - rising prices

38、 - social and economic costs of a sustained increase in government debt - Keynes - liquidity trap - social economic crisis theory the sovereign credit crisis, the government have to increase efforts to reduce the government fiscal expenditure of social welfare, social consumption shrink - social and

39、 economic stagnation and negative growth. This is the proof of the integrity and the reality of the social and economic reality logic theory.Because inflation is the root, after a series of vicious spiral continuous causal relationship between society and economy, and finally lead to the development

40、 of social economy and the reality of the stagnation of negative growth effect.In the social and economic development has been stagnant and persistent negative growth dilemma state, in Keyness economics imperial division Nationalism (subject) theory system theory and method system of economic though

41、t, governments are still in use: to increase the money supply and the expansionary fiscal deficit policy in an attempt to stagnation and save the negative growth of social and economic development, is undoubtedly in baoxinjiuhuo, water control of a series of complications continue to increase social

42、 inflation and the coherence of the severity, and the social and economic development and social stagnation of negative economic growth: social and economic disease, not only effective treatment ,But further intensified: regarded as hopeless. At the same time, inflation will be in its reaction more

43、intensified and a get out of hand. That: social and economic stagnation and inflation and negative growth also produced the social. Become more difficult to control and a social and economic problem and crisis of social dilemma: stagflation. Two: the opposite surface phenomenon and become complement

44、ary substantive identity and unity of the social economic vicious spiral cancer.So, we can know: Keynes economics of Monetary Economics - the main root cause inflation - the source of reality of social economy: economic stagflation. The two is the unity of contradiction in essence, is a unified iden

45、tity of the causal relationship between the antecedents and consequences of the body.Thus, Keyness economics theory and methodology system is the social economic stagnation: social and economic causes of pathogens and diseases, and the social economic stagnation is the surface phenomenon of social e

46、conomic disease social and economic consequences. The reality. No antecedent Keynes economics, there is no real social economic stagflation adverse consequences!To sum up, we can draw the following conclusions of some basic economics:A, Keynes economics lead to social overall inflation, and a series

47、 of negative effects of social and economic effects of inflation will inevitably cause social economy: three carriages of mutual negative feedback effect leads to synchronization of atrophy, social investment, social consumption, social exports shrink, and finally lead to the inevitability of stagna

48、tion and negative growth of social economy the development of.Two, inflation is Keynes economics the inevitability of social and economic consequences, and inflation leads to a comprehensive, social and economic system of stagnation and deterioration of negative growth, which makes the two from the

49、surface of the body becomes contradictory unity, substantive identity finally lead to social economic stagflation: synchronization.Three, Keyness economics theory and methodology system is the essence of the social economic stagnation and social economic root disease. But in reality governments are still using the Keynes economics under the guidance of the increase in the money supply and the expansion of the fiscal de

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